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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Treasury & TIPS ETFs

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Treasury & TIPS ETFs

US Treasury bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government β€” the global benchmark for “risk-free” assets. They’re the foundation of all fixed income analysis.

Duration tiers

TierYearsSensitivityWhat It Represents
Short1-3LowCash-like, Fed policy
Intermediate3-7MediumNear-term outlook
Medium7-10Medium-HighBelly of curve
Long20+HighLong-term expectations

Key insight: A bond with 10-year duration falls ~10% if rates rise 1%.

ETFs compared

iShares (most liquid)

ETFDurationExpenseBest For
SHY~1.9 years0.15%Cash parking
IEI~4.4 years0.15%Intermediate
IEF~7.5 years0.15%Balanced duration
TLT~16.5 years0.15%Duration bets
GOVT~6.2 years0.05%Full curve

Vanguard (lower cost)

ETFDurationExpenseiShares Equivalent
VGSH~1.9 years0.04%SHY
VGIT~5.2 years0.04%IEI
VGLT~16.0 years0.04%TLT

Extended duration

ETFDurationExpenseWhat It Tracks
EDV~24.5 years0.06%Zero-coupon STRIPS

EDV holds treasury STRIPS β€” zero-coupon bonds with maximum duration. Use for aggressive rate cut bets.

TIPS (Inflation-Protected)

TIPS protect purchasing power β€” the principal adjusts with CPI. The spread between nominal treasuries and TIPS (breakeven inflation) shows market inflation expectations.

ETFDurationExpenseBest For
TIP~6.7 years0.19%Broad TIPS
SCHP~6.6 years0.03%Lowest cost
VTIP~2.4 years0.04%Short-duration TIPS
LTPZ~20.2 years0.20%Max inflation sensitivity

TIP outperforming TLT = inflation expectations rising
TLT outperforming TIP = inflation expectations falling

Quick reference

GoalETF
Cash parkingSHY, VGSH
Balanced durationIEF, VGIT
Duration playTLT, VGLT
Maximum durationEDV
Inflation hedge (broad)TIP, SCHP
Inflation hedge (low duration)VTIP
For most traders: TLT for directional treasury exposure, SHY for cash parking, IEF for balanced duration. Add TIPS when hedging or expressing a view on inflation.

For signal interpretation and trading strategies, see Bond Market Signals.

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