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πŸš€ Emerging Markets

πŸš€ Emerging Markets

Emerging markets offer exposure to faster-growing economies β€” but with significantly higher volatility, political risk, and currency swings. These markets have delivered spectacular gains during global growth cycles and devastating losses during crises. Understanding the ETF landscape β€” and the China concentration problem β€” is essential for sizing your EM allocation appropriately.

The big two: EEM vs VWO

These are the dominant emerging market ETFs. Despite tracking similar universes, they differ in cost and methodology.

ETFNameExpense RatioHoldingsAUMIndex
EEMiShares MSCI Emerging Markets0.70%~1,400~$20BMSCI Emerging Markets
VWOVanguard FTSE Emerging Markets0.08%~5,800~$90BFTSE Emerging Markets
IEMGiShares Core MSCI EM0.09%~2,800~$80BMSCI EM Investable Market

EEM β€” The liquid benchmark

EEM is the original emerging markets ETF and remains the most liquid, with the best options market.

Key characteristics:

  • MSCI methodology: Institutional benchmark standard
  • Large/mid-cap focus: ~1,400 holdings
  • Best options liquidity: Tightest spreads, most volume
  • Higher expense ratio: 0.70% β€” reflects legacy pricing

When to use EEM:

  • You need options for hedging or income strategies
  • You’re making large trades requiring maximum liquidity
  • You’re benchmarking against MSCI EM

The trade-off: Expensive. For long-term holding, cheaper alternatives exist.

VWO β€” The low-cost alternative

VWO tracks the FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap Index at just 0.08% β€” nearly 10x cheaper than EEM.

Key characteristics:

  • FTSE methodology: Different country classifications than MSCI
  • Broader coverage: ~5,800 holdings including small-caps
  • South Korea excluded: FTSE classifies Korea as developed (unlike MSCI)
  • Vanguard scale: Massive AUM, low trading costs

When to use VWO:

  • Long-term buy-and-hold allocation
  • You want the lowest possible expense ratio
  • Korea exclusion is acceptable (it’s in VEA instead)

The trade-off: Less liquid options market than EEM.

IEMG β€” The middle ground

IEMG offers MSCI methodology at near-Vanguard pricing (0.09%).

Key characteristics:

  • MSCI Investable Market Index: Includes small-caps (~2,800 holdings)
  • South Korea included: Unlike VWO
  • Core series pricing: Part of iShares’ low-cost lineup
  • Growing AUM: Now rivals VWO in assets

When to use IEMG:

  • You want MSCI exposure for benchmark consistency
  • You prefer Korea inclusion
  • Core long-term allocation

Comparing the three

FactorEEMVWOIEMG
Expense ratio0.70%0.08%0.09%
Holdings~1,400~5,800~2,800
South KoreaIncludedExcludedIncluded
Small-cap exposureLimitedYesYes
Options liquidityBestModerateModerate
Index familyMSCIFTSEMSCI
Best forTrading, optionsLong-term holdCore allocation

The China problem

China represents 25-30% of most emerging market ETFs. This single-country concentration creates significant political, regulatory, and delisting risk.

China weight in major EM ETFs

ETFChina WeightImplication
EEM~25%Heavy China exposure
VWO~28%Even heavier (FTSE methodology)
IEMG~25%Similar to EEM

Why China weight matters

RiskDescription
Regulatory crackdownsGovernment actions on tech, education, real estate sectors
Delisting riskUS-listed Chinese ADRs could be forced to delist
Geopolitical tensionTaiwan, trade wars, sanctions
Data transparencyLess reliable corporate disclosures
VIE structureMany Chinese ADRs don’t represent actual ownership

Ex-China alternatives

If you want EM exposure without China concentration:

ETFNameExpense RatioFocus
EMXCiShares MSCI EM ex-China0.25%EM without China
XCEMColumbia EM Core ex-China0.16%Lower-cost alternative

When to use ex-China:

  • You want to size China exposure separately
  • You’re concerned about China-specific risks
  • You want to pair with a dedicated China ETF

Country ETFs β€” Targeted exposure

For tactical bets on specific emerging economies:

China

ETFNameExpense RatioFocus
FXIiShares China Large-Cap0.74%50 largest Chinese companies (H-shares)
MCHIiShares MSCI China0.59%Broader China (~600 holdings)
KWEBKraneShares CSI China Internet0.69%Chinese tech/internet focus
CQQQInvesco China Technology0.70%Chinese tech sector

FXI vs MCHI: FXI is concentrated (50 stocks, state-owned heavy). MCHI is broader and includes more private companies. KWEB/CQQQ for pure tech exposure.

Brazil

ETFNameExpense RatioFocus
EWZiShares MSCI Brazil0.59%Broad Brazil (~50 holdings)

EWZ characteristics:

  • High volatility: BRL (Brazilian real) swings can be extreme
  • Commodity-linked: Heavy energy, materials, financials
  • High dividend yield: Often 5-8% yield
  • Political sensitivity: Elections, Petrobras, fiscal policy

India

ETFNameExpense RatioFocus
INDAiShares MSCI India0.64%Broad India (~130 holdings)
EPIWisdomTree India Earnings0.84%Earnings-weighted India
SMINiShares MSCI India Small-Cap0.79%Indian small-caps

India characteristics:

  • Fastest-growing large economy: Demographics favorable
  • Less commodity-dependent: Tech, financials, consumer focus
  • Relatively expensive: Premium valuations vs. other EM
  • Currency volatility: INR can swing meaningfully

Taiwan & Korea

ETFNameExpense RatioFocus
EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan0.59%Taiwan (~90 holdings)
EWYiShares MSCI South Korea0.59%South Korea (~100 holdings)

Semiconductor exposure: Both Taiwan (TSMC) and Korea (Samsung) are heavily weighted toward semiconductors. These are essentially leveraged bets on the global chip cycle.

Other notable EM countries

ETFNameExpense RatioCountry
EWWiShares MSCI Mexico0.50%Mexico β€” nearshoring beneficiary
TURiShares MSCI Turkey0.59%Turkey β€” high risk, high reward
EZAiShares MSCI South Africa0.59%South Africa β€” commodity-linked

The EEM/SPY ratio β€” Key signal

The ratio of EEM to SPY shows emerging market risk appetite:

EEM/SPY BehaviorInterpretationAction
Rising sharplyEM risk-onAdd emerging market exposure
Falling sharplyEM risk-offReduce EM, flight to quality
Breaking multi-year downtrendPotential regime changeWatch for confirmation
Diverging from dollarWarningDollar typically drives EM returns

What drives EM outperformance?

FactorBullish for EMBearish for EM
DollarWeakeningStrengthening
CommoditiesRisingFalling
Fed policyCutting ratesHiking rates
Global growthAcceleratingDecelerating
ChinaStimulus, reopeningCrackdowns, lockdowns
Risk appetiteHigh (VIX low)Low (VIX elevated)

EM within international allocation

EFA/EEM ratio β€” Developed vs Emerging

This ratio shows preference within international allocations:

EFA/EEM BehaviorInterpretationAction
RisingDefensive internationalOverweight developed (EFA/VEA)
FallingAggressive internationalOverweight emerging (EEM/VWO)
At extremesMean reversion likelyConsider fading the trend

Historical pattern: EM tends to outperform developed during global growth accelerations and commodity bull markets. Developed tends to outperform during risk-off periods and dollar strength.

Which ETF for which situation?

SituationBest ChoiceWhy
Long-term core EM allocationVWO or IEMGLowest cost, broad exposure
Options trading, hedgingEEMBest liquidity, options market
EM without China riskEMXCRemoves China concentration
China conviction (broad)MCHIBroader than FXI
China tech betKWEBPure internet/tech exposure
India growth betINDAFastest-growing large EM
Brazil yield/commodityEWZHigh yield, commodity-linked
Semiconductor cycle betEWT or EWYTaiwan/Korea chip exposure

Quick reference

ETFTypeExpenseBest For
VWO
Core0.08%Long-term hold, lowest cost
IEMG
Core0.09%MSCI exposure, core allocation
EEM
Core0.70%Trading, options, liquidity
EMXC
Ex-China0.25%EM without China
MCHI
Country0.59%Broad China exposure
KWEB
Country0.69%China tech/internet
INDA
Country0.64%India growth
EWZ
Country0.59%Brazil, high yield
EWT
Country0.59%Taiwan semiconductors
The bottom line: For long-term EM exposure, VWO or IEMG offers the best value. Use EEM if you need options liquidity. Consider EMXC if China concentration concerns you β€” then size China separately with MCHI or FXI. Country ETFs are for tactical bets when you have specific views. Remember: EM is high-beta β€” position size accordingly.

Sources

Core ETF information
  • EEM: iShares β€” Tracks MSCI Emerging Markets Index
  • VWO: Vanguard β€” Tracks FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap Index
  • IEMG: iShares β€” Tracks MSCI EM Investable Market Index
Country ETF information
  • FXI: iShares β€” FTSE China 50 Index
  • MCHI: iShares β€” MSCI China Index
  • KWEB: KraneShares β€” CSI Overseas China Internet Index
  • INDA: iShares β€” MSCI India Index
  • EWZ: iShares β€” MSCI Brazil Index
  • EWT: iShares β€” MSCI Taiwan Index
  • EWY: iShares β€” MSCI South Korea Index
Ex-China alternatives
  • EMXC: iShares β€” MSCI Emerging Markets ex-China Index
  • XCEM: Columbia β€” Beta Advantage EM ex-China Index
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