π Emerging Markets
Emerging markets offer exposure to faster-growing economies β but with significantly higher volatility, political risk, and currency swings. These markets have delivered spectacular gains during global growth cycles and devastating losses during crises. Understanding the ETF landscape β and the China concentration problem β is essential for sizing your EM allocation appropriately.
The big two: EEM vs VWO
These are the dominant emerging market ETFs. Despite tracking similar universes, they differ in cost and methodology.
| ETF | Name | Expense Ratio | Holdings | AUM | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets | 0.70% | ~1,400 | ~$20B | MSCI Emerging Markets |
| VWO | Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets | 0.08% | ~5,800 | ~$90B | FTSE Emerging Markets |
| IEMG | iShares Core MSCI EM | 0.09% | ~2,800 | ~$80B | MSCI EM Investable Market |
EEM β The liquid benchmark
EEM is the original emerging markets ETF and remains the most liquid, with the best options market.
Key characteristics:
- MSCI methodology: Institutional benchmark standard
- Large/mid-cap focus: ~1,400 holdings
- Best options liquidity: Tightest spreads, most volume
- Higher expense ratio: 0.70% β reflects legacy pricing
When to use EEM:
- You need options for hedging or income strategies
- You’re making large trades requiring maximum liquidity
- You’re benchmarking against MSCI EM
The trade-off: Expensive. For long-term holding, cheaper alternatives exist.
VWO β The low-cost alternative
VWO tracks the FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap Index at just 0.08% β nearly 10x cheaper than EEM.
Key characteristics:
- FTSE methodology: Different country classifications than MSCI
- Broader coverage: ~5,800 holdings including small-caps
- South Korea excluded: FTSE classifies Korea as developed (unlike MSCI)
- Vanguard scale: Massive AUM, low trading costs
When to use VWO:
- Long-term buy-and-hold allocation
- You want the lowest possible expense ratio
- Korea exclusion is acceptable (it’s in VEA instead)
The trade-off: Less liquid options market than EEM.
IEMG β The middle ground
IEMG offers MSCI methodology at near-Vanguard pricing (0.09%).
Key characteristics:
- MSCI Investable Market Index: Includes small-caps (~2,800 holdings)
- South Korea included: Unlike VWO
- Core series pricing: Part of iShares’ low-cost lineup
- Growing AUM: Now rivals VWO in assets
When to use IEMG:
- You want MSCI exposure for benchmark consistency
- You prefer Korea inclusion
- Core long-term allocation
Comparing the three
| Factor | EEM | VWO | IEMG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expense ratio | 0.70% | 0.08% | 0.09% |
| Holdings | ~1,400 | ~5,800 | ~2,800 |
| South Korea | Included | Excluded | Included |
| Small-cap exposure | Limited | Yes | Yes |
| Options liquidity | Best | Moderate | Moderate |
| Index family | MSCI | FTSE | MSCI |
| Best for | Trading, options | Long-term hold | Core allocation |
The China problem
China weight in major EM ETFs
| ETF | China Weight | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| EEM | ~25% | Heavy China exposure |
| VWO | ~28% | Even heavier (FTSE methodology) |
| IEMG | ~25% | Similar to EEM |
Why China weight matters
| Risk | Description |
|---|---|
| Regulatory crackdowns | Government actions on tech, education, real estate sectors |
| Delisting risk | US-listed Chinese ADRs could be forced to delist |
| Geopolitical tension | Taiwan, trade wars, sanctions |
| Data transparency | Less reliable corporate disclosures |
| VIE structure | Many Chinese ADRs don’t represent actual ownership |
Ex-China alternatives
If you want EM exposure without China concentration:
| ETF | Name | Expense Ratio | Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMXC | iShares MSCI EM ex-China | 0.25% | EM without China |
| XCEM | Columbia EM Core ex-China | 0.16% | Lower-cost alternative |
When to use ex-China:
- You want to size China exposure separately
- You’re concerned about China-specific risks
- You want to pair with a dedicated China ETF
Country ETFs β Targeted exposure
For tactical bets on specific emerging economies:
China
| ETF | Name | Expense Ratio | Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| FXI | iShares China Large-Cap | 0.74% | 50 largest Chinese companies (H-shares) |
| MCHI | iShares MSCI China | 0.59% | Broader China (~600 holdings) |
| KWEB | KraneShares CSI China Internet | 0.69% | Chinese tech/internet focus |
| CQQQ | Invesco China Technology | 0.70% | Chinese tech sector |
FXI vs MCHI: FXI is concentrated (50 stocks, state-owned heavy). MCHI is broader and includes more private companies. KWEB/CQQQ for pure tech exposure.
Brazil
| ETF | Name | Expense Ratio | Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EWZ | iShares MSCI Brazil | 0.59% | Broad Brazil (~50 holdings) |
EWZ characteristics:
- High volatility: BRL (Brazilian real) swings can be extreme
- Commodity-linked: Heavy energy, materials, financials
- High dividend yield: Often 5-8% yield
- Political sensitivity: Elections, Petrobras, fiscal policy
India
| ETF | Name | Expense Ratio | Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| INDA | iShares MSCI India | 0.64% | Broad India (~130 holdings) |
| EPI | WisdomTree India Earnings | 0.84% | Earnings-weighted India |
| SMIN | iShares MSCI India Small-Cap | 0.79% | Indian small-caps |
India characteristics:
- Fastest-growing large economy: Demographics favorable
- Less commodity-dependent: Tech, financials, consumer focus
- Relatively expensive: Premium valuations vs. other EM
- Currency volatility: INR can swing meaningfully
Taiwan & Korea
| ETF | Name | Expense Ratio | Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EWT | iShares MSCI Taiwan | 0.59% | Taiwan (~90 holdings) |
| EWY | iShares MSCI South Korea | 0.59% | South Korea (~100 holdings) |
Semiconductor exposure: Both Taiwan (TSMC) and Korea (Samsung) are heavily weighted toward semiconductors. These are essentially leveraged bets on the global chip cycle.
Other notable EM countries
| ETF | Name | Expense Ratio | Country |
|---|---|---|---|
| EWW | iShares MSCI Mexico | 0.50% | Mexico β nearshoring beneficiary |
| TUR | iShares MSCI Turkey | 0.59% | Turkey β high risk, high reward |
| EZA | iShares MSCI South Africa | 0.59% | South Africa β commodity-linked |
The EEM/SPY ratio β Key signal
The ratio of EEM to SPY shows emerging market risk appetite:
| EEM/SPY Behavior | Interpretation | Action |
|---|---|---|
| Rising sharply | EM risk-on | Add emerging market exposure |
| Falling sharply | EM risk-off | Reduce EM, flight to quality |
| Breaking multi-year downtrend | Potential regime change | Watch for confirmation |
| Diverging from dollar | Warning | Dollar typically drives EM returns |
What drives EM outperformance?
| Factor | Bullish for EM | Bearish for EM |
|---|---|---|
| Dollar | Weakening | Strengthening |
| Commodities | Rising | Falling |
| Fed policy | Cutting rates | Hiking rates |
| Global growth | Accelerating | Decelerating |
| China | Stimulus, reopening | Crackdowns, lockdowns |
| Risk appetite | High (VIX low) | Low (VIX elevated) |
EM within international allocation
EFA/EEM ratio β Developed vs Emerging
This ratio shows preference within international allocations:
| EFA/EEM Behavior | Interpretation | Action |
|---|---|---|
| Rising | Defensive international | Overweight developed (EFA/VEA) |
| Falling | Aggressive international | Overweight emerging (EEM/VWO) |
| At extremes | Mean reversion likely | Consider fading the trend |
Historical pattern: EM tends to outperform developed during global growth accelerations and commodity bull markets. Developed tends to outperform during risk-off periods and dollar strength.
Which ETF for which situation?
| Situation | Best Choice | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term core EM allocation | VWO or IEMG | Lowest cost, broad exposure |
| Options trading, hedging | EEM | Best liquidity, options market |
| EM without China risk | EMXC | Removes China concentration |
| China conviction (broad) | MCHI | Broader than FXI |
| China tech bet | KWEB | Pure internet/tech exposure |
| India growth bet | INDA | Fastest-growing large EM |
| Brazil yield/commodity | EWZ | High yield, commodity-linked |
| Semiconductor cycle bet | EWT or EWY | Taiwan/Korea chip exposure |
Quick reference
| ETF | Type | Expense | Best For |
|---|---|---|---|
VWO | Core | 0.08% | Long-term hold, lowest cost |
IEMG | Core | 0.09% | MSCI exposure, core allocation |
EEM | Core | 0.70% | Trading, options, liquidity |
EMXC | Ex-China | 0.25% | EM without China |
MCHI | Country | 0.59% | Broad China exposure |
KWEB | Country | 0.69% | China tech/internet |
INDA | Country | 0.64% | India growth |
EWZ | Country | 0.59% | Brazil, high yield |
EWT | Country | 0.59% | Taiwan semiconductors |